Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000995 1.135971e-03 0.001277 0.001429 0.001587 0.001747 0.001919
2026-01-11 0.000774 9.760770e-04 0.001186 0.001417 0.001663 0.001916 0.002195
2026-01-18 0.000601 8.466598e-04 0.001110 0.001408 0.001731 0.002068 0.002444
2026-01-25 0.000426 6.943970e-04 0.000995 0.001345 0.001733 0.002143 0.002606
2026-02-01 0.000305 5.894200e-04 0.000922 0.001320 0.001769 0.002250 0.002797
2026-02-08 0.000221 5.166643e-04 0.000879 0.001323 0.001831 0.002381 0.003011
2026-02-15 0.000158 4.603437e-04 0.000850 0.001337 0.001902 0.002519 0.003230
2026-02-22 0.000111 4.180305e-04 0.000833 0.001362 0.001983 0.002666 0.003455
2026-03-01 0.000062 3.589899e-04 0.000789 0.001352 0.002021 0.002761 0.003622
2026-03-08 0.000022 2.931364e-04 0.000730 0.001319 0.002029 0.002821 0.003748
2026-03-15 0.000004 2.578423e-04 0.000709 0.001330 0.002086 0.002935 0.003931
2026-03-22 NaN 2.134364e-04 0.000670 0.001316 0.002111 0.003011 0.004071
2026-03-29 NaN 1.678104e-04 0.000635 0.001321 0.002178 0.003154 0.004310
2026-04-05 NaN 1.191944e-04 0.000588 0.001308 0.002223 0.003275 0.004526
2026-04-12 NaN 7.874203e-05 0.000545 0.001299 0.002272 0.003398 0.004746
2026-04-19 NaN 3.174253e-05 0.000468 0.001238 0.002254 0.003444 0.004876
2026-04-26 NaN 8.314207e-06 0.000421 0.001214 0.002281 0.003540 0.005062
2026-05-03 NaN 3.461410e-08 0.000394 0.001216 0.002339 0.003671 0.005288
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000375 0.001229 0.002410 0.003816 0.005528
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000365 0.001254 0.002493 0.003976 0.005784
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000335 0.001244 0.002531 0.004080 0.005974
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000293 0.001212 0.002539 0.004147 0.006120
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000278 0.001222 0.002600 0.004277 0.006339